06月12日(Tue) 15:30〜20:00 K会場(-ゆ~あいプラザ山口県社会福祉会館/第1会議室(81))
演題番号 | 1K2-IOS-1b-3 |
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題目 | Spatio-temporal Kriging of solar radiation incorporating direction and speed of cloud movement. |
著者 | 井上 剛(Mitsubishi Research Institute, Inc.) Sasaki Tetsuo(The Kansai Electric Power Co., Inc.) Washio Takashi(Osaka University) |
時間 | 06月12日(Tue) 16:30〜17:00 |
概要 | This report identifies direction, speed and duration of a solar radiation distribution due to weather conditions, especially a cloud movement, from distributed observations of solar radiation. 25 observations around Osaka area are used to analyze spatial correlation patterns with delay, and the results are compared to whole-sky photographs. The correlation patterns differ according to cloud patterns and motions, yet when a motion of cloud is observed, the speed and direction of the cloud motion can be identified from the correlation pattern. Using the information above, a detailed map of solar radiation (spatial and temporal resolution of 500 meters and 5 minutes) could be drawn by spatio-temporal Kriging. The presented method parameterizes the direction and speed of a cloud cover ratio, thereby incorporating its directionality. Cross-validation with spatial Kriging shows the advantage of the spatio-tempral Kriging when a motion of cloud is ovserved. |
論文 | PDFファイル |